Preseason Driver Rankings: #3 Tony Stewart

Tony Stewart
No. 14 Mobil 1/Office Depot Chevy
Team: Stewart-Haas Racing
Crew Chief: Steve Addington

2011 Stats
Wins: 5
Top-5s: 9
Top-10s: 19
Poles: 1
DNF: 1
Average Start: 17.7
Average Finish: 12.0
Races Led: 21
Laps Led: 913
% Laps Completed: 99.3%
Points Finish: 1st

2011 in a Nutshell
For 26 races, Tony Stewart was good some weeks, not so good other weeks. But he did just enough during the regular season to get into the Chase for the third straight year as an owner-driver. When the Chase began, Stewart put together an all-time great run – winning five races, finishing in the top-eight in three others and winning his third Sprint Cup championship, and his first as a car owner.

Reasons to Believe
On sheer talent, no one matches Tony Stewart … Steve Addington has worked with temperamental drivers in the past and should have no problem acclimating himself to Stewart’s quirks … As demonstrated by what he did in the Chase, Stewart is a streaky driver who has knack for winning in bunches … There are only three tracks on the schedule where Stewart has never won and one of them is Kentucky Speedway, where he has made just one start … The addition of Greg Zipadelli as competition director is a terrific hire and will allow Stewart to focus more on just being a racecar driver … Danica Patrick’s arrival – i.e. more importantly the sponsorship dollars she brings with her – will be a big boost for an organization that has had difficulty finding sponsorship for all its cars.

Reasons to Doubt
Separating the owner part of the equation from the driver part has been difficult for Stewart and was something that hindered his relationship with previous crew chief Darian Grubb … One outstanding performance in the Chase disguises the fact that this team was just ordinary during the regular season … There is a very real possibility bringing Danica onboard could be too much of a distraction for a guy who already has a heap of stuff on his plate … He needs to improve at Dover where he was considerably off the pace last year … The same thing can be said for Bristol, a track where he has an average finish of 21.0 in his last six starts.

Area of Strength: Team depth
As long as Tony Stewart the car owner has Tony Stewart as his driver, he will always have one of the most talented drivers in the garage wheeling his equipment. Further more, Stewart bringing over Greg Zipadelli, his former longtime crew chief at Joe Gibbs Racing, and Steve Addington to replace the fired Darian Grubb, makes this the deepest collection of talent Stewart-Haas Racing has ever had entering a season.

Area of Weakness: Dover
Stewart’s magical Chase run of a year ago nearly got derailed when he flat stunk at Dover, finishing 25th, two laps off the pace. The thing of it is, that was an improvement over the spring race, when he finished six laps down in 29th. If those numbers don’t scream weakness, I don’t know what does?

Best-case Scenario For 2012
The momentum from the end of 2011 carries over to ’12, and from Daytona to Homestead, Tony Stewart is an unstoppable force, cumulating with him winning his fourth series championship.

Worst-case Scenario For 2012
The magic carpet ride comes to halt, Stewart and new crew chief Steve Addington don’t click, and it’s a return to the malaise that swallowed Stewart for much of the regular season. Except, this time it’s enough for the defending champ to miss out on the Chase – much like he did the last time he won the championship.

In Their Words
“We were immediately back on the job of trying to figure out how to do the same thing this year. It was easy to do that having Zippy (Greg Zipadelli) and Steve Addington come on board, guys that weren’t really with us when we won the championship at the end of the year. Their focus was on what we were going to do this year, so it kind of got the whole mindset of the shop to not get lazy and think about what we accomplished last year and get working on what we can do to try to repeat this year.”
–Tony Stewart

Predicted Number of Wins: 3

The Racing Geek’s Final Thought
It’s hard to imagine Tony Stewart continuing at the torrid pace he had through the last 10 races of last year. On the other hand, it’s also hard to think there will be a noticeable drop-off with the loss of Darian Grubb, as Steve Addington is a more than worthy and capable replacement. But on paper, other teams look better and while I think the 14 team is a very good team, I think others are better.

Reflecting On The Moment

In society we have a tendency to slap a label on something the moment anything of any consequence happens. Often the label being used involves words like “greatest ever,” the biggest disappointment,” and so forth.

Instead of letting an event marinate and allowing time to dictate its place in history, we instantly try and determine where a particular moment fits in the spectrum of record.

Too often without the proper amount of time to digest what’s transpired, our instant analysis is proved incorrect.

Now, 48 hours removed from Tony Stewart doing the unthinkable and outdueling Carl Edwards in a stirring head-to-head duel to not only win the Ford 400 but the championship, the easy thing to do is say this was the best championship-deciding race in NASCAR history.

Upon a little reflection, it very could well be. However, that proclamation will have to wait.

Just once previously had a championship battle come down to the degree it did on Sunday.

That day was of course, November 15, 1992. A race many smarter than I view as the best race in NASCAR’s rich history.

It was on that day, the super team of Bill Elliott and Junior Johnson were looking to fend off a surprising upstart from Wisconsin who went by the name of Alan Kulwicki.

As Stewart and Edwards did this past weekend, Elliott and Kulwicki were running first and second in the closing laps. But unlike this past Sunday, Kulwicki knew because he had already secured the points bonus for leading the most laps, it wasn’t paramount he win the race.

The stubborn, headstrong driver who owned his own team (sound familiar?) knew finishing second would be good enough to secure him his first Sprint Cup.

That wasn’t a luxury afforded to Stewart Sunday.

Because Edwards had led the most laps, and because the No. 99 Ford Fusion car was as good as the Chevy Stewart was wheeling, The owner-driver knew there was only one way to bring home his third series title.

Anything less than a victory would equate to a runner-up finish in the final standings. A prospect that was unacceptable to the man who had made it loud and clear to his opponent just days before that when the dust settled, it would be him walking away with the championship hardware and not the man who had been the most consistent driver throughout the season.

To talk a big game is one thing. To go out and back up your statements in the most damning way possible is entirely different thing altogether.

Stewart, through both his actions and his words, willed his team to the championship.

He twice drove through the field to get to the front after getting repairs for a damaged grille which had been punctured by a piece of debris early on. As if this adversity wasn’t enough, more hurdles were to come including a lengthier than normal pit stop due to a malfunctioning air gun, to be followed by Stewart later running out of fuel.

Yet, in a race that had far-reaching consequences like no other, there he was still in position to challenge for the race win and the championship.

With 30 laps to go, it was Stewart out in front leading Edwards, knowing that one bobble, wiggle or one corner where he simply drove it in too hard would erase everything he and his team had overcome.

When the checkered flag was rolled out and waved, Stewart not only officially claimed his 44th career win but most importantly, his third Sprint Cup title.

This triumph firmly secured Stewart’s place in an elite group which includes Lee Petty, Cale Yarborough, Darrell Waltrip, David Pearson, Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, Dale Earnhardt and Richard Petty, as drivers who have three or more Sprint Cup championships to their name.

Accompanied with his accomplishments in open-wheel racing, where Stewart won the IndyCar title in 1997 and notched three victories in his two-plus years, it firmly cements him as one of the most diverse and accomplished drivers in a variety of disciplines of all-time.

But instead of trying to determine Stewart’s place in history and where this race may fall in the list of great NASCAR races, let’s just sit back and enjoy.

Let’s enjoy the gritty determination Stewart showed throughout the Chase which saw him win a record five playoff races and pass a total of 118 cars Sunday.

Let’s relish the class Edwards displayed despite losing the championship in the most painful way possible. I can’t image what Edwards is going through, knowing he did everything he could in the Chase – his 4.9 average finish was a Chase record and on Sunday he started on the pole, led the most laps and finished second – yet it still wasn’t good enough to overcome Stewart.

Let’s appreciate a race which showcased everything there is to love about stock car racing at its highest-level.

Let’s respect the efforts of Stewart’s crew chief, Darian Grubb, who just five weeks prior had been told that he would be out of a job at the end of the year.

As we do all these things, let’s also let time establish the hierarchy in which we will place Stewart’s win.

Although, to be honest, when everything is said and done and the time comes to judge this race, I have a fairly good idea where I’m going to put it.

 

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Carl vs. Tony: A Contrast In Styles

12 men started the 2011 edition of the Chase for the Sprint Cup with the goal of becoming champion. But after nine events that whittled the combatants down like contestants on an afternoon game show, we’re left with just two challengers.

Enter Carl Edwards and Tony Stewart.

In one corner you have a driver who has won races and championships in a variety of disciplines. A driver, who no matter what unfolds on Sunday, will go down as one of the best NASCAR drivers of his era.

In the other corner, you have a driver who while talented, is looking for his first championship of note. A driver who, while on the cusp of greatness, is still looking to take the next step and cement his place in NASCAR’s record book.

One driver owns his team while the other drives for one of the more powerful and well-off owners in the sport.

One represents Ford; the other has strong ties to Chevrolet. So much so he left the powerhouse Joe Gibbs Racing team because of their newfound allegiance to Toyota.

Sunday, under the Southern Florida blue skies the two will engage in the final round of their championship fight.

With a scant three points separating the two, this title isn’t going to be won by playing it safe and lagging in the middle of the pack.

To walk away with the hardware you’re going to need to run up front, and depending how the chips fall, maybe even win to secure the title.

“I truly believe this could come down to who wins this race is going to win this championship,” said Edwards yesterday during the championship contender’s press conference.

If that is the case, the odds are definitely in Stewart’s favor, as winning in the Chase is something he’s grown quite accustomed.

Since the green flag waved on the Chase, the Hoosier native has been won four times in a variety of ways.

There was the fuel-mileage win at Chicagoland, the late-race rallies at New Hampshire and Martinsville, where Stewart only led a combined 16 laps, yet still found a way to find Victory Lane, and of course the complete domination at Texas, when he led a race-high 173 laps and won by a comfortable one-second margin.

But it takes more than just winning to score a championship. It also takes consistency. And that very characteristic is why Edwards, and not Stewart, is leading the points.

“There are different approaches you can take to it,” explained Edwards, who is looking to deliver Ford it’s first driver’s title since 2004. “To be clear we haven’t gone out and said we aren’t going to try to win the race and just cruise and do our best. That is one of the things I am most proud of. We have performed very well even on the days when things didn’t stack up in our favor.”

No driver this year has scored more top-fives and top-10s than the driver who’s trying to deliver car owner Jack Roush’s third Sprint Cup title.

Not to mention, Edwards’ 9. 5 average finish makes him the only such driver to have an average finish in single digits. And through nine Chase races, Edwards worst result is an 11th at Talladega with a remarkable average finish of 5.2.

While Stewart was busy winning races in the Chase, Edwards was showcasing the consistency which has had him atop the standing 23 of 35 weeks.

While you may decry Edwards for having only one victory this season – in the third race of the year at Las Vegas – let’s not forget about those near-misses at Daytona, Bristol, Darlington, Richmond, Texas and Phoenix, all races where Edwards finished in the runner-up position.

It’s not as if Edwards is in the position he’s in based on pure luck. He’s earned it, just as much as Stewart has earned his four victories this season.

If you’re wondering who has the advantage Sunday, the scale would have to tip slightly in favor of the guy who has yet to win a championship.

In addition to being the hunted instead of the hunter, Homestead-Miami Speedway just so happens to be a place Edwards excels, having won two of the last three races here along with having six consecutive finishes of eighth or better.

It also helps that Ford has won seven of the last nine races on the 1.5-mile track

Conversely, because of the position he’s in entering the weekend, Stewart’s approach is that of someone who has nothing to lose with all the pressure squarely on Edwards’ shoulders.

If comes down to the last lap, Stewart made no secret of what he would do to win the championship.

“I’d wreck my mom to win a championship,” said a smiling Stewart.

Not surprisingly, Edwards isn’t exactly of the same mindset. Or at the very least, doesn’t want to reveal what he’s thinking publically.

“You don’t know what will happen in a race or how it will work out, said Edwards. “I am not about to tell him what I am going to do or what lengths I am willing to go to. It doesn’t help me to tell him my strategy. He has stated what he is willing to do and that is fine.

“I don’t think either of us underestimates the others resolve to win. I think that would be foolish.”

As for Stewart, who’s looking to become the first owner-driver since Alan Kulwicki to win the championship, he makes no bones about what this weekend is all about.

“I respect him as a driver, but this isn’t about friendships this weekend,” said Stewart. “This is a war. This is a battle. This is for a national championship. It’s no holds barred this weekend. I didn’t come this far to be one step away from it and let it slip away, so we’re going to go for it.

“They say there are talkers and doers. I’ve done this twice.”

 

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As The Title Turns In Kansas

Every battle has a turning point. That one critical moment where things either begin to turn in your favor allowing you to seize control, or turn against you causing you to regress backwards leading to eventual defeat.

While it’s still too early to tell, it’s looking as if Sunday’s running of the Hollywood Casino 400 on the mile-and-a-half Kansas Speedway is going to go down as the turning point in this year’s Chase for the Sprint Cup.

First and foremost, yesterday was a monumental day for a face we’ve grown accustomed to seeing in Victory Lane in years past, but who’s “struggled” to recapture that same success in 2011.

While the consistency that has become Jimmie Johnson’s hallmark during his five-year reign as champion has been there this year, one thing has noticeably been missing for the No. 48 Lowes team.

Wins.

Before Sunday, Johnson had been to Victory Lane just one this season, and that had came at Talladega, where luck and being in the right place at the right time is more paramount than having a fast car.

But yesterday Johnson sent a loud reverberating message to those whom dare to question whether he was going to be a player in this year’s Chase.

From the drop of the green flag, the No. 48 Lowes Chevy was on a mission. Quickly ascending from his 19th starting position to the front of the field, where he would stay throughout the afternoon. All total, Johnson flexed his muscles by leading a race-high 197 laps, and at one point was so dominant he had a lead of over 14-seconds.

“We showed today what we’re capable of when we’re all performing at the top of our game, and hopefully we can do that for six more weeks,” said Johnson following his win yesterday.

His second victory of the year moved him up to third in the standings, just four markers behind points leader Carl Edwards and made it crystal clear to everyone that the road to the championship still runs through the man who’s now won 55 Cup races in his career and has had a stranglehold on the title these last five years.

However Kansas wasn’t just a turning point for Johnson as there were others who used Kansas to make a statement.

Throughout the race Sunday, Carl Edwards was stricken with an ill-handling Ford Fusion, running mid-pack most of the day, and even was as low as 25th at one point. It was all but a certainty that he was going to take a big hit in the points.

But three-fourths of the way through the 400-mile event, crew chief Bob Osborne finally was able to diagnose what ailed Edwards’ mount.

“We had the wrong front suspension settings in the car,” said an ecstatic Edwards. “Bob [Osborne] and I together in practice, we prepared the wrong setup, and when they dropped the green I realized we were in deep trouble. So Bob made adjustments to the setup, made some bigger adjustments than we would normally make, and then we were very fortunate with the late race caution and being able to get two tires and have a shot to run up there through the traffic.”

The adjustments propelled the Roush Fenway driver through the field, and when the checkered flag flew, there was Edwards scoring an astonishing fifth-place finish. A result which had him beaming post race and proclaiming that this result was as good as a win.

“I cannot believe we finished fifth, it feels like a win,” said Edwards. “I cannot believe from the way the day started, to finish like that is spectacular.

“I do not deserve to be sitting up here. We should have finished 15th or 20th, so it all worked out in our favor.”

It’s easy to see that if Edwards does go on to win his first Sprint Cup title, Kansas is going to be the race where he looks back and says, this where he won it and seized the moment.

A day that could have been catastrophic, instead turned opportunistic as Edwards was able to regain sole possession of first-place in the championship order by one point over Kevin Harvick.

Harvick, like Edwards, is another driver who wrestled with a car that wasn’t up to snuff for much of the day. But like Edwards, Harvick and his Budweiser team continued making adjustments and by race end he was able to leave with a top-10 finish (sixth) and is very much in the title picture with some of his best tracks still to come.

Hunkering down and making the best out of a situation is how championships are won. It’s a lesson Harvick and Edwards are both well aware of, having both been on the wrong end of close championship battles.

Being steady and reliable and being able to turn proverbial lemons into lemonade is what winning championships is all about. But just as Kansas buoyed the championship aspirations of Johnson, Edwards and Harvick, it conversely put a pin in the title balloons of two other drivers.

The popular consensus heading into the Chase was that Jeff Gordon was going to seriously contend for his fifth Sprint Cup title. Instead, the promise which he showed throughout the regular season has disappeared. A fine fourth-place finish at Dover had been sandwiched between mediocre finishes of 24th and 12th at Chicagoland and Dover.

Thusly, Kansas was supposed to represent the place where Gordon’s “Drive For Five” would be kicked into high gear.

But with a blown engine that left him 34th in the final rundown and 10th in the standings, 47 points behind Edwards, Kansas has now become Gordon’s Waterloo.

Unlike Gordon, Tony Stewart struggled dramatically during the regular season, going winless and barely squeaking into the Chase. But unlike his counterpart, once the playoffs started, Stewart found his form, becoming just the second driver to start the Chase with consecutive victories.

Except an awful race at Dover, where he finished two laps down in 25th, stunted his momentum. If Stewart was to be considered a serious title contender, he would need a good result in the Sunflower State.

And for much of the afternoon a good run appeared to be on the horizon. With Johnson running away with things, the race was for second, and for 130-laps second was a position Stewart held.

But a mishap on his final pit stop which saw Stewart lockup his brakes and slide through his pit box sent him spiraling down the running order.

A 14th-place finish isn’t too terrible in the grand scheme of things, but accompanied with what happened the week before, it all but assures Stewart will not be the first owner-driver since Alan Kulwicki to lift the championship hardware at the end of the year.

After a disappointing weekend, and barring something miraculous happening, for Stewart and Gordon, their quest to win another championship is going to have to wait another year.

For Johnson, Edwards and Harvick, their quest to win a title is very much alive thanks to the respective battles each won in Kansas.

 

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Atlanta Is Make-or-Break For Stewart

You can hear it in the words he’s saying but more importantly, you can hear it in the tone of his voice.

Tony Stewart is despondent, frustrated, and most of all, resigned to the fact that with 12 races left to go in 2011, his season is effectively over.

He has the mindset that the rest of the year is nothing more than going through the motions and trying to sort out where the train went off the tracks and how to get it back on and functioning properly again.

Of all the various sides to Stewart’s complex personality we’ve seen through the years, this is one that has rarely, if ever, crept out.

“I will be perfectly honest, at this point of the deal, if we are going to run this bad, it really doesn’t matter whether we make the Chase or not because we are going to be occupying a spot in the Chase that somebody else that actually can run for a championship is going to be trying take because our stuff is so bad right now, we’re wasting one of those top-12 spots right now,” ranted Stewart two weeks ago following a subpar day at Michigan.

A season that once showed such promise has somehow evaporated into him throwing in the towel.

What was it that caused the owner-driver to go from someone who was once considered a championship contender to someone who’s now clinging to a spot in the Chase by the slimmest of margins? And who, if he does get into the Chase, will be looked at as nothing more than an afterthought?

Maybe it has something to do with the disappointment of all those near-miss victories earlier in the year? When Stewart lined up second on a late race restart in the Daytona 500 but faded to a hollow 13th-place finish in The Great American Race.

Or the following week at Phoenix, when poor pit strategy made him a sitting duck while leading with 27 laps to go and he ended up skidding back to seventh. Or was it the race after in Las Vegas, one in which he dominated. Leading a race-high 163 laps, but once again was befuddled by pit strategy and finished a disappointing second to Carl Edwards.

Or maybe it’s been the tough 21-race stretch where Stewart has posted just one top-five finish. Despite the fact the summer months is where the 39-time Sprint Cup winner is typically at his best due to the slickness of the tracks, which plays into Stewart’s strength due to his dirt track upbringing.

“Obviously we haven’t had that big run that we typically have this time of the year,” said Stewart. But, at the same time we’re not out of it yet by any means. We’re still in the hot part of the summer so we’re still in that time of year but we haven’t shown the strength that we typically do in the summer months.”

Or perhaps the accumulation of all the behind the scenes wrangling that went into last week’s signing of Danica Patrick has been a distraction? A move that will see Stewart-Haas Racing expand to three cars with Patrick driving eight to 10 Sprint Cup races with the rest of the schedule hopefully be filled out with a yet to be named driver and a still to be found sponsor.

No matter the root cause, the end result finds Stewart in a precarious position entering Sunday’s running of the AdvoCare 500.

Winless on the year and sitting 10th in points, the only driver besides Jimmie Johnson and Kurt Busch to win a title in the Chase era is close to finding himself on the outside looking in when the playoffs begin two weeks from Sunday.

With a poor race tomorrow accompanied by a good run by Brad Keselowski, Clint Bowyer or Denny Hamlin and Stewart’s Chase hopes will take a big blow. Coming off a race at Bristol, where he started last and struggled to keep pace all night and ultimately finished three laps down, there’s little hope for a turnaround tomorrow.

If that happens, then it might really be time to throw in the towel.

However, the silver lining in all this is the fact that this isn’t an unfamiliar position for Stewart.

12 months ago he rolled into Atlanta in the midst of a 31-race winless streak. Unconcerned, he went on to lead 176 out of a possible 325 laps and easily cruised to his first victory of the year.

Though, he’s pessimistic of going back-to-back, repeating his feat of a year ago isn’t lost on Stewart.

“The good thing is we are on the same tire that we won on here last year,” said Stewart yesterday in his weekly media session with reporters. ”As much as I would like to say we can put the same set up on and have the same result unfortunately technology changes between when we won here last year. Now so what we had won’t be good enough we’ll have to try to make it better.

“It’s at least somewhat comforting knowing we have a package that worked last year and we have an idea of what we need to compete with.”

And it’s not as if there aren’t other drivers who were once viewed as title contenders earlier this year limping into Labor Day weekend.

Look no further at how off Stewart’s good buddy Kevin Harvick has been the last three months.

Since winning the Coca-Cola 600 on Memorial Sunday, Harvick has finished no better than fifth and has an average finish of 13.1. A far cry from the form that has taken him to victory lane three times in 2011.

Something Stewart is well aware of.

“Definitely not happy with where we are at but I don’t think anybody really is,” said a rather surprisingly upbeat Stewart. “I think everybody feels like there are things they can do better and some of those organizations are questioning what they have to do to get better than what they are. We’re one of those teams right now.”

Another thing Stewart has to feel good about is how well the other car he owns has performed as of late.

With one victory and five top-10s in his previous seven starts, Ryan Newman has been as hot as any driver not named Brad Keselowski or Kyle Busch. A sign that the equipment Stewart-Haas Racing is putting out there every week is good enough to run up front and be factor come the Chase.

“I think Ryan has been more consistent and definitely would have a better opportunity than what we have with the No. 14 car right now,” explained Stewart.

“I know they (the No. 39 team) have been very cautious the last five or six weeks making sure they are protecting themselves. You know they feel very confident they can have a good championship run. There are always a lot of variables that aren’t in your control.”

Consequently, while Stewart may not soon be adding another driver’s title to his extensive résumé, at least there is the possibility of the organization that bares his name soon hanging a championship banner in its Kannapolis, N.C. headquarters.

Then, just maybe, Stewart’s attitude would take a turn for the better.

 

 

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Danica Fulltime To NASCAR In 2012

What once was inevitable is now official. Starting in 2012, Danica Patrick will be a fulltime NASCAR driver.

Today’s announcement confirmed what has been assumed for weeks. Starting next season, Patrick will run a full season in the Nationwide Series for JR Motorsports, while at the same time running eight to 10 Sprint Cup races for Stewart-Haas Racing, all with the goal of preparing Patrick for a full slate of Cup races in 2013, where she would compete for Rookie of the Year.

“I’m very excited to finally say it,” Patrick said in a press conference at the Arizona headquarters for sponsor GoDaddy.com. “From the first time I got out of the car in the ARCA race at Daytona [in 2010], it was the most fun I ever had in a race car. It probably had to do with the bumping, but it was the most fun I ever had in a car and I think that really started it all and it went from there.

“I’m excited to start the next chapter. … I’m ready to go.”

Although it wasn’t announced, it’s widely believed that Patrick will make her Sprint Cup debut in next year’s Daytona 500.

That Patrick chose to align herself with Tony Stewart and his budding Sprint Cup team is of no surprise. The two have known each other for years and Stewart has provided mentorship for Patrick as she dipped her toes into the stockcar waters.

“I see great things for Danica,” said Stewart in a press release released earlier today by JR Motorsports. “Danica doesn’t hold back. She really is a fearless competitor. She’s taken a systematic approach to her stock car career, which is smart. I think with the support she has from Go Daddy and Dale Jr. and all of us at Stewart-Haas Racing, Danica has a very promising NASCAR future.”

Their connection is no doubt aided by the fact that if anyone knows the challenges that await Patrick in her shift from IndyCar to NASCAR, it’s Stewart, who’s won championships in both disciplines and made the successful crossover himself 15 years ago.

“The thing you see in Danica right away is how determined she is to be good at what she does,” said Stewart in a press release released issued by his own team. “She’s very dedicated to taking the time and effort to make the transition from Indy cars to stock cars.

“She has talent, she has the right mindset and she has the proper drive and determination. It doesn’t matter who it is you’re looking for, those are the key attributes that you look for in a driver, and Danica’s got them.”

For Patrick, signing with Stewart-Haas Racing makes sense on many levels outside of her relationship with her new car owner. As noted above, the two-time Sprint Cup champion knows firsthand the difficulties that await Patrick, and his knowledge should help make the transition easier.

“It took me running some Cup races before I realized I was ready,” Stewart said earlier this year at an event for sponsor Office Depot. “I’m not sure you know until you get out and do it. She’s smart enough. She didn’t get to this level by making bad decisions. I have the confidence that when she gets that opportunity and when she decides that she wants that opportunity, she’ll do it with the right time in mind.”

More so, Patrick has made it known that if she ever did move fulltime to NASCAR, it would be with an established team that was capable of providing her with the proper equipment to be competitive. Stewart-Haas Racing more than fits that bill.

In its three years under Stewart’s leadership, Stewart-Haas Racing has won a combined eight races between its two cars driven by Stewart and Ryan Newman. In that same span, Stewart has made the Chase twice, while Newman has done so once, with both on the cusp of making the Chase again this season.

Not to mention, Stewart-Haas Racing is a satellite team for Hendrick Motorsports as they are provided engines and chassis’s by the 10-time championship organization. As such, Patrick won’t have to concern herself with the quality of cars she’ll have underneath her, and the more comfortable you are and the less worries you have as a rookie, the better off your performance will be.

And the performance side of things is where questions still linger, as there are doubts whether Patrick has what it takes to succeed in NASCAR.

After a rough foray into NASCAR last year when she ran a limited Nationwide schedule for JR Motorsports and finished no better than 19th in 13 starts, the fourth woman to take the green flag in the Indianapolis 500 has made notable strides this season. In seven races in 2011, Patrick has scored three top-10s finishes, including a fourth-place run at Las Vegas, and has improved her average finish 12 positions from the year before.

If she can continue to make the same gains, any doubt that Patrick deserves a ride with one of the sports premiere teams will evaporate. Until then, there will still be questions.

However those questions won’t be answered today or even tomorrow. The only thing that was clarified today was that starting in 2012 Danica Patrick will be a fulltime NASCAR driver. For now, that’s all we really need to know.

 

 

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Monday’s Thoughts: Maturity and Teamwork Propel Busch

Through the early parts of the season, a popular conversation has been whether marriage has mellowed and matured Kyle Busch to the point where he’s ready to seriously contend for his first Sprint Cup championship.

There have never been questions surrounding Busch’s ability to win, something which he’s done all seven seasons he’s run a full Cup schedule. However the question is, can the temperamental and talented driver harness that talent and withstand the rigors of a championship battle?

That won’t be completely answered until the year is up and Busch shows he can put it all together on and off the track during the 10 most pressurized weeks of the NASCAR season, the Chase for the Sprint Cup.

What’s also not open for debate is just how talented a racer the 26-year-old Busch is. This was further exemplified Saturday with a convincing win under the lights in the Crown Royal 400 at Richmond International Speedway. One that saw him lead 235 out of a possible 400 laps and easily cruise to his second victory of 2011.

“It was a really good evening for us,” said Busch, who now has won the spring Richmond race three years running. “We love coming to Richmond for some reason. It seems to run well for us – we like coming to this place.

“We always tend to have good racecars here.”

While being married will certainly help ground a man (I’ve heard), as will growing old (this I know), another step in the evolution of the “new and mature Kyle Busch” is the closer relationship he has with crew chief Dave Rogers. A partnership that’s had its share of ups and downs, with the most notably down occurring last fall at Texas. That was when Busch melted down on a NASCAR official resulting in him being penalized multiple laps and ended with a plea from Rogers to Busch to stop putting the 18 in a hole they couldn’t climb out of.

Now though, the duo is one of the stronger pairings in the garage.

“I think Kyle and I are definitely a lot closer than we were last year,” said winning the crew chief. “I texted him this week. We didn’t race last weekend and I found myself actually missing him.

“I just enjoy hanging out with Kyle, enjoy spending time with him. Monday is his birthday and I’m excited to have an early happy birthday present.”

Also helping the maturity process is the strong teamwork among the three Joe Gibbs Racing cars. To the point it was Busch’s teammate, Denny Hamlin, who shared some key information with Busch that aided him in securing his 21st-career win. Information neither wanted to disclose post-race and a piece of advice that came back to bite Hamlin as he finished a distant second.

But it speaks volumes about the relationship Busch and Hamlin have, where both go out of their way to help one another. Even if sometimes it can be to the determent of their own gain, much was the case for Hamlin this past weekend.

“They all realize that if I help Denny, Denny in turn is going to help me, and then we can help Joey (Logano),” explained team owner J.D. Gibbs. “It’s kind of one of those things when you give and buy into the concept that, ‘Hey, we are a team, we do help each other out.’ I think ideally you want to race each other for every win, with three of our guys up front at the end of the race. We can live with that outcome, racing each other for the victory. What you don’t want to do is have other guys beating you, you in-house not getting along or communicating.

“I think our guys do a good job. Selfishly they know if they help their teammate out in the long run it’s going to help them out. I think our guys do a good job of that communication, which isn’t easy.”

As he should, considering it’s only to his advantage, it’s a philosophy Busch buys into fully. Who’s to say that this “all for one” mantra combined with his newfound maturity doesn’t payoff for him in an even bigger way and lead him to his first championship six months from now?

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Even though Denny Hamlin was expected to run well this weekend, the fact that he still went out and finished second is a big step towards getting back to the level he was at for almost all of last year.

While a win would be nice for a driver and team that have struggled to find their way this season, rumors surfaced last week (that would later prove to be untrue) of a potential crew chief swap among two of the struggling Joe Gibbs cars. A second-place finish sure is a big boost of confidence for a team that had seemingly been in a funk through the early part of the season.

Although it’s easy to say Hamlin was predicted to run well this weekend, the truth is there already have been a few races this season where they were expected to do well but failed to produce the projected result. First at Phoenix, then at Martinsville followed by Texas, all tracks the No. 11 Toyota dominated at a year ago, but failed to perform well at in 2011.

So to think Hamlin, who coming in had just one top-10 finish in eight races, would be a factor Saturday was not a given.

But there he was running in the top-10 from the drop of the green flag and in position to capitalize if his teammate faltered in the closing laps.

Hamlin certainly hopes this past weekend represents some kind of turning point.

“I hope so,” Hamlin said. “Usually it’s about five, six races before we kind of get going. Maybe it’s just this year, I don’t know what race this is, about eight or so, maybe it’s taken us a few extra races.

“It’s my best finish of the year. I’m ecstatic, to be honest with you. You can’t be mad at second place. Yeah, I want to win, trust me. It burns that you didn’t win. But how we didn’t win I can live with.”

However one race doesn’t erase the previous eight. If Hamlin comes out and resumes his inconsistent ways at Darlington in the Southern 500, a race where he is the defending champion, doubt is again going to creep up. People will wonder if he still hasn’t put how 2010 ended behind him. And finishing second on a track where he generally runs well is quite a bit different from winning regularly like he did a year ago. Something Hamlin knows all too well.

“We know when we come to these racetracks we’re going to be contenders for a win,” said Hamlin. “I never even thought about one struggle that we had earlier in the year when we come here to Richmond. It’s like, Okay, we should win, regardless of what’s happened, how bad we ran up until this point. You forget about all that when you go to a racetrack that you have a lot of success. Hopefully this is the point in which we turn it around.”

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Typically Richmond is a good track for both Jimmie Johnson and Tony Stewart, where combined, the two have six victories. Though both left Richmond with top-10 finishes, it didn’t appear from the outset that either was going to have a productive night.

Johnson struggled with the handle of his Lowes Chevrolet so much so he found himself a lap down at one point.

But as they’ve been known to do, the 48 team continued to fight and eventually hit on a setup that worked well enough for them to get back on the lead lap courtesy of the Lucky Dog, and eventually leave the D-shaped track with an eighth-place finish.

The night Johnson had was almost a mirror image of the one experienced by Stewart. Who like Johnson at one point was a lap down, but persevered, got his lap back via the Lucky Dog and posted his first top-10 since finishing second at Las Vegas six races ago.

Not that the owner-driver was pleased with the result which netted him a ninth-place finish, offering a pretty direct assessment of where he thought his team was at nine races into the season.

“We suck right now. I am embarrassed about how bad our stuff is.”

Okay than, so much for thinking he would credit his crew for their hard-fought effort. Perhaps next time?

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Odds & Ends

►David Ragan’s fourth-place run was his first top-five finish in over two full years since finishing third at Talladega in the fall of 2008.

►Carl Edwards had a relatively quiet fifth-place finish, yet still was able to post his fifth top-five of 2011 and retained his points lead over Jimmie Johnson.

►Thanks to a late-race pit stop, which forced him to forfeit his running position inside the top-10, Dale Earnhardt Jr. saw his streak of seven consecutive races of finishing 12th or better come to an end as he came home 19th. Afterwards, a presumably frustrated Earnhardt didn’t meet with reporters, a move atypical of the sports most popular driver.

►A sixth-place finish by Clint Bowyer was his fifth straight of ninth or better and moved him up to seventh overall in the championship order.

►It was a great weekend all-around for Dave Blaney. First, midweek he and team owner Tommy Baldwin announced Golden Corral would sponsor the team for 19 of the 28 remaining races. This deal will allow the underfunded single-car team to race, and not have to resort to starting-and-parking. Secondly, Saturday night Blaney finished a surprising 13th which marked his best result since a 12th-place at Dover September of 2008, a span of 76 races.

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Monday’s Thoughts: Stewart Stumbles; Carl Cashes In

When you’re in Las Vegas, it’s only natural to gamble. After all, that’s what you do when you visit the city where you have the option to pop a quarter into a slot machine at every corner.

Like the majority of those who come to the desert looking to strike it big, Tony Stewart left Sin City disappointed, frustrated and wondering where it all went wrong, after a late gamble saw the owner-driver give away a race that he should’ve won.

Throughout the day, Stewart’s No. 14 Chevy was the class of the field as he led a race-high 166 laps and consistently pulled away from the field with relative ease.

But Stewart’s house of cards came crashing down on lap 153. It was then, during a pit stop, an air wrench got stuck in the left rear of his car. Unaware, Stewart drove off with it still attached. That’s a penalty under the NASCAR rulebook, one that requires the offending party, in this case Stewart, to serve a drive thru penalty.

The punishment dropped the 2002 and ’05 Sprint Cup champion back to 23rd and from there he was in catch-up mode the rest of the afternoon.

In an effort to recuperate his lost track position, crew chief Darrian Grubb called for two-tires on the team’s second to last pit stop of the day. The move worked as Stewart jumped his back in the lead.

But the gamble came with a price.

With just about everyone behind him taking four tires on the same pit stop cycle in which he took two, it put Stewart in a position where he was going to have to get four fresh Goodyear’s on his final stop. While at the same time, it opened the door for those who had taken four tires to go with just two during their final pit stops of the afternoon.

A classic no-win proposition for Stewart in a town filled with them.

“I honestly think we had the car to beat today, we just gave it away,” said a dejected Stewart. “Just shot ourselves in the foot two weeks in a row now.”

However, it wasn’t all doom and gloom for Stewart, as his runner-up finish moved him into a tie with Kurt Busch atop the standings. Not that Stewart was thinking about that afterwards.

“I probably should (feel solace in finishing second), but that’s not in my makeup,” said Stewart. “I mean, it kills me to throw a race away like that, especially at a place we haven’t won at yet. This was a big deal today, and when you lead that many laps and have a car that’s that fast and you lose it.”

When you gamble trying to hit it big, the odds are you’re going to roll snake eyes. A lesson Tony Stewart now knows all too well.

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If there’s a driver who can sympathize with Tony Stewart’s plight, it would be the guy who was celebrating in victory lane at the end of 400 miles of racing.

A week ago in Phoenix, Carl Edwards had a car underneath him that was as good as he’s ever driven. It was a car that should have won the race, as long as he kept the engine running and the car in one piece.

Except that’s easier said than done.

Contact with Kyle Busch led to Edwards hitting the wall and a potentially winning racecar was turned into a crumpled one.

The emotions Edwards felt then were the exact feelings Stewart felt seven days later. Funny thing is though; Edwards didn’t feel like he was owed one after what happened in Phoenix.

“It is amazing that it worked out this well,” Edwards said. “It isn’t something you can count on you know. It was a long week.”

With the win he lost now found, Edwards can rejoice in what has been a fantastic start to his 2011 season. Three races into the year, the Roush Fenway driver has had a car good enough to win each week, and as a result, he finds himself just seven points out of first in the standings.

“This is the best start to a season that I have ever had, said Edwards,” who won for the 19th time in his career. “I am really excited about the season. This is a great start.”

It is a great start that could easily turn into more, as five of the 10 previous winners in Las Vegas have gone on to win the championship.

Although it’s hard to call anyone a favorite so early in the year, it’s clear which driver has asserted his dominance heading into the first bye week of the season.

It’s the same driver who’s won three of the past five races dating back to last year and left Vegas like so few of us do – a winner.

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There was an international flavor Sunday among front running cars, with Juan Pablo Montoya and Marcos Ambrose each turning in outstanding runs, which netted them third- and fourth-place finishes, respectively.

Montoya’s third-place finish represented the second time this season he’s finished sixth or better. Add it up, and he’s a solid fourth in the standings, just seven markers behind co-leaders Tony Stewart and Kurt Busch. A far cry from last year when a 37th-place finish in this race saw him leave Vegas 26th in the standings and already on the verge of being eliminated from the Chase.

“To get a top-five here today in Vegas after what happened the last few years here it’s amazing,” Montoya stated. “We had a really good Daytona, bad Phoenix and we ran good here. Three good finishes at least in points is good.”

Ambrose, making his third start for the revamped Richard Petty Motorsports team, this was a day that he needed after a disappointing Daytona (37th-place finish) and a subpar day at Phoenix (16th.)

“There was a ton of good energy out here today, just a ton of good energy,” said the Australian native. “I am really happy with the finish.”

In his third race with a new team, the former Australian Touring Car champion is hopeful this is the start of something special.

“It was a great day. It was a great first top-five for RPM. I have to thank Richard Petty for believing in me and giving me a shot. It is going to be a great year.”

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It hasn’t been flashy nor has it been necessarily pretty, but the pairing of Dale Earnhardt Jr. and crew chief Steve Letarte is quickly proving to be an effective combination.

The 88 team struggled to find the handle on their Chevrolet throughout the weekend. They never were quicker than 25th in practice and in qualifying they were only able to clock in the 33rd fastest time.

But like we’ve seen at Daytona and Phoenix, the 88 team is proving to be a gritty bunch. Earnhardt didn’t get down on himself like he has the past couple of years, and as such, was able to provide good feedback to Letarte, who continued to make good adjustments with each passing pit stop. The end result was a car Earnhardt could drive through traffic and by mid-race, was solidly in the top-10.

When the checkered flag waved, Earnhardt crossed the line in eighth and had his second top-10 finish in has many weeks.

“We made some great adjustments and the car just drove better and better,” said a smiling Earnhardt. I just kept describing what I was feeling and what I thought I needed and Steve was really hitting right on it about every time.

“I’m happy. It’s a fun team; a great group of guys. I’m proud to be a part of it and hope I can keep working well and keep doing well.”

It was a happy, confident, and dare I say optimistic, Dale Earnhardt Jr. That’s not something we’ve seen too much of in the last couple of years.

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Odds & Ends

●It was an unhappy homecoming for Kyle Busch, who rolled into this weekend as the points leader, but dropped 13 spots in the championship order after a motor failure 107 laps into the race.

●Jeff Gordon was a victim of one of the numerous tire failures we saw on Sunday. Last week’s winner lost his right front tire 74 laps from the end and slammed the wall hard in Turn-4 and finished 36th. Luckily for him, the Safer Barrier allowed him to escape without injury.

● Brian Vickers’ 10th-place finish was his best effort since finishing 10th at Darlington last May, when he was forced to step out of the car the following week for the remainder of the year, due to blood clots.

●Despite starting last due to a pre-race engine change, Denny Hamlin turned in his first top-10 finish (seventh) of 2011.

●Jimmie Johnson was a non-factor and had a pedestrian 16th-place finish.

 

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Preseason Driver Rankings: #9 Tony Stewart

Tony Stewart
No. 14 Office Depot/Mobil 1
Team: Stewart-Haas Racing Chevy Impala
Crew Chief: Darrian Grubb

2010 Stats
Wins
: 2
Top-5s: 9
Top-10s: 17
Poles: 2
DNFs: 1
Average Start: 13.2
Average Finish: 13.9
Races Led: 9
Laps Led: 537
% Laps Completed: 99.6%
Points Finish: 7th

2010 in a Nutshell
If Tony Stewart would have had the year he had in 2009, his first season as an owner-driver, there would be nothing but high-praise for the season he put together – two wins, nine top-fives, 17 top-10s and a seventh-place finish in the standings. But the problem is, this wasn’t Stewart’s first season as an owner-driver, it was his second. Because he was coming off a year where he went to victory lane four times and won the regular season points crown, the expectations were much higher for him in 2010.

Best-case Scenario for 2011
Stewart-Haas finds additional horsepower which propels Tony Stewart to a handful of victories during the regular season, but yet he saves his best for the Chase. And that’s where the two-time Sprint Cup champ peaks; winning a couple of races and ultimately stopping Jimmie Johnson’s title-streak at five.

Worst-case Scenario for 2011
Instead of making progress, Stewart-Haas Racing remains stagnant while the rest of the garage improves. With too many other things taking away his attention, Tony Stewart can’t get a handle on how to fix the team that bears his name and it ends up costing him a spot in the Chase.

Reasons to Believe
If it has wheels and a motor, Tony Stewart can win with it…This is a very deep organization with a lot of talented people working behind the scenes…Short tracks, superspeedways, cookie cutters, road courses, the two-time champ has won on them all…Crew chief Darrian Grubb has formed a very solid relationship with a driver who isn’t always the easiest to work with…Along with having a close technical alliance, the team also receives its engines and chassis’ from Hendrick Motorsports…Is noticeably slimmer and is in arguably the best shape of his career.

Reasons to Doubt
Between being a team owner in multiple series, a track owner, a track promoter as well as all the other stuff that goes along with being a NASCAR driver and owner, there are distractions aplenty…Things are still playing out legally concerning Stewart’s fight down in Australia over the offseason…At age 40, “Smoke” is no longer a young man…Still want to know why this team disappeared after winning at Fontana, the fourth race in the Chase.

Area of Strength: Watkins Glen
With five wins, two runner-up finishes and with his worst finish being an 11th in his last nine starts; it would be to Tony Stewart’s advantage to petition NASCAR to add another race on the twisty road course in upstate New York.

Area of Weakness: Too Much On His Plate
Being a high-profile driver is a hard enough job without all the other things Tony Stewart has on his plate. While he manages it all admirably, one has to wonder how much better he would be behind the wheel if he didn’t have to worry about team ownership, track ownership and promotion, not to mention what’s going to happen legally from his brouhaha in Australia.

Predicted Number of Wins: 2

The Racing Geek’s Final Thought
In equal equipment, Tony Stewart would have an excellent chance to capture his third NASCAR title. But there’s something amiss with Stewart-Haas Racing. This is a team that still battles with consistency issues – as is to be expected of a team only entering its third year.

While there will be flashes where its driver will look capable of challenging for the championship, the reality is, this team isn’t up to the task of being lights-out for 10 consecutive weeks.

 

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Instant Analysis: Sprint Cup Media Tour Day One


What Happened: The assembled media converged on Earnhardt-Ganassi Racing, Stewart-Haas Racing and Penske Racing to listen to drivers and team personnel talk about the forthcoming season. The day ended with a reception hosted by Fox/SPEED where Fox Sports Chairman David Hill shared his thoughts on how Fox would cover the 2011 season, and some changes he would like to see NASCAR make going forward.

What We Learned: Larry McReynolds wants the media to be “positive”…Tony Stewart has gone from eating two large meals a day to five smaller meals…Due to his already busy schedule which includes 38 Sprint Cup races in addition to the Rolex 24 Hours of Daytona, Juan Pablo Montoya has no intention of running in this year’s Indianapolis 500…New dad Ryan Newman has gone from talking about setups with fellow drivers to conversing about cribs…Sam Hornish Jr. is going to run a minimum of 11 Nationwide Series races for Penske Racing…After going in-depth at Daytona in regards to the fight he got into in Australia, Tony Stewart is done talking about it…Kurt Busch will be making his NHRA debut in March at the GatorNationals…Fox wants to see shorter races, a greater emphasis on winning and will focus more on the drivers than in years past.

The Most Significant Development: Fans and media have been banging the drum loudly for NASCAR to shorten races for awhile now, but their requests have, for the most part, fallen on deaf ears. Last night though, for the first time, one of NASCAR’s television partners made it known they’re in favor of seeing the length of races reduced.

“Right now there are more opportunities for stuff [for viewers] than anytime in man’s history,” Fox Chairman David Hill stated. “I think a lot of the races are too long. I think probably three hours would be ideal.”

For those of us who want to see NASCAR trim the fat from some races, this comment is outstanding news. And one has to think these words will certainly resonate with the powers that be down in Daytona.

It’s also worth mentioning Hill went on to say Fox is no longer receiving the same value as it once was and that could play an impact when the networks contract expires after the 2014 season.

In Their Own Words: “Last year I think we all started feeling a lot more comfortable in knowing what to expect. It’s definitely not easy for sure, but we have Bobby Hutchins leading this for us. We have some great crew chiefs in Darien Grubb and Tony Gibson. And I have a great teammate with Ryan (Newman). Those are the key ingredients that you have to have.”
–Stewart-Haas Racing co-owner Tony Stewart on how much more prepared the team is entering its third season.

What’s Next: Day two of the Sprint Cup Media Tour will feature stops at Michael Waltrip Racing, Richard Childress Racing, TRG Motorsports, and Red Bull Racing along with a panel discussion with Nationwide Series drivers and officials.

If you would like to contact the author of this post, please feel free to email him at jordan@theracinggeek.com and you can also follow The Racing Geek on Twitter.

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